Wonderful introduction:
Let the sorrows be full of worries, and can't sleep, push the moon. The full moon hangs high, scattered all over the ground. I think that the bright moon will be ruthless, and the wind and frost will fade away for thousands of years, and the passion will fade away easily. If there is love, it should have grown old with the wind. Knowing that the moon is ruthless, why do you repeatedly express your love to the bright moon?
Hello everyone, today Avatrade Aihua Foreign Exchange will bring you "[Aihua Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The global market is keeping a close eye on this big event today!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On June 9, during the Asian market on Monday, the US dollar index hovered around $99. Bloomberg reported that senior trade negotiators from China and the United States will hold a new round of negotiations in London on Monday (June 9), which gave people a glimmer of hope that the two largest economies in the world can ease tensions caused by China's dominance in the rare earth mineral field. Bloomberg pointed out that rare earth exports have become the focus of negotiations.
Both China and the United States accused each other of violating the agreement reached in Geneva in May, when the two sides tried to ease the trade war. Since U.S. President Donald Trump's return to the White House, relations between the two countries have deteriorated, bringing uncertainty to businesses and investors.
Asian market
China's overall CPI in May was in a negative area for the fourth consecutive month, with a year-on-year period of -0.1%, slightly better than the expected -0.2%.
The continued weakness of overall inflation is mainly due to a sharp drop in energy prices by -6.1% year-on-year, which alone has lowered the annual CPI reading by nearly half a percentage point.
Moon-month calculation, CPI fell -0.2% month-on-month, and energy once again dragged down the number, down -1.7% month-on-month.
In contrast, the core inflation rate excluding food and energy prices rose to 0.6% year-on-year, the highest level since January.
Producer price pressure continued to weaken further, with PPI falling from the previous year to -2.7% to -3.3%, the worst contraction in the past two years. Wholesale prices have been falling into deflation since October 2022.
European Market
Member of the ECB Governing Council of GermanyJoachim Nagel said over the weekend that the central bank could enter a moratorium after the eighth rate cut in the current easing cycle last week, which would lower deposit rates to 2.00%.
Negel also pointed out in his speech on Deutschlandfunk radio that the current interest rate levels provide "maximum flexibility". "And," we can now take the time to see what's going on.
Megan Greene, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy www.avaforexcn.committee, admitted at a meeting on Saturday that while inflation in the UK is moving "in the right direction", it was declining slower than she hoped.
Green spoke frankly about the unexpected upward trend in April, saying that while MPC believes it can “see through” the jump, there is still a “conspicuous risk” that price pressures may become more entrenched, especially as the second round of effects become a reality.
Green also highlighted the behavioral shifts triggered by the recent cost-of-living crisis, warning that past inflation shocks could make households and businesses more sensitive to even minor price increases. This, in turn, may have an impact “through wage-price behavior.” S
He noted that private sector wage growth remains “much higher” than that consistent with the Bank of England’s 2% inflation target.
Eurozone retail sales rose only 0.1% month-on-month in April, lower than expected 0.2%. A small increase in food, beverage and tobacco sales (+0.5%) and a solid rebound in automobile fuel purchases (+1.3%) were offset by a -0.3% decline in non-food product sales.
In the entire EU, retail sales increased by 0.7% month-on-month, but the basic data painted a www.avaforexcn.completely different picture. Poland led the way with a staggering 7.5% surge, followed by Slovakia and Sweden, with a 2.4% increase. By www.avaforexcn.comparison, Germany, the region's largest economy, fell -1.1%, dragging down the overall euro zone data.
U.S. market
Canada employment rose by 8.8k in May, better than expected decline of -11.9k. The growth in full-time employment (+58k; +0.3%) was offset by the decline in part-time employment (-49k; -1.3%).
The unemployment rate rose from 6.9% to 7.0%, in line with expectations. The employment rate is stable at 60.8%.
The average hourly wage of employees increased by 3.4%, the same as in April.
U.S. non-farm employment increased by 139k in May, higher than expected 130k. This is slightly lower than the average monthly earnings of 149k over the past 12 months.
The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%, in line with expectations. Participation rate dropped from 62.6% to 62.4%.
Average hourly wages increased by 0.4% month-on-month, higher than expected 0.3%. Over the past 12 months, average hourly wages have increased by 3.9% year-on-year.
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